AGRICULTURAL EXPORT PROMOTION PROGRAMS/ POLICIES AND THE WORLD TRDING SYSTEM HOUCINE BOUGHANMI WTO Chair Sultan Qaboos University Joint Workshop Organized by UNCTAD and CAMS for Dates Farmers and Stakeholders 19-21 March, 2018 Sultan Qaboos University Oman
The Need for Export Promotion Policies (EPP s) Oman agricultural exports in the last decade has shown an increasing trend Exports act as engine of economic growth (export-led growth hypothesis) Both developed countries as well as LDCs use EPP s to promote their exports. Attributes of local products need to be communicated to potential overseas buyers (non-price advantage) Public versus private export promotion
US$ % 1800000 1600000 1400000 1200000 1000000 OMAN AGIRCULTURAL EXPORTS 7.00 6.00 5.00 4.00 800000 600000 400000 200000 0 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Ag. Exports % Total Exports 3.00 2.00 1.00 0.00
AGRICULTUTAL EXPORT PROMOTIONS PROGRAMS (EPP s) Export Subsidies Direct Export Subsidies Policies with Subsidy Equivalent effects (Duty drawbacks schemes, tax exemption ) Export Finance Export loans Export guarantees Export insurance Export Market Development Programs (advertising, trade missions, Supplying information to local exporters about foreign markets Knowledge to potential buyers about local products Providing support services (research, know how, training
Marrakesh Agreement establishing the WTO GATT 1947 (incl. Decisions, Accession Protocols, ) + Understandings + Marrakesh Protocol GATT 1994 Agriculture SPS Textiles and Clothing TBT TRIMs Antidumping (GATT VI) Customs valuation (VII) PSI Rules of Origin Import Licensing Subsidies & Couterv. M Safeguards Schedule of Tariff Concessions General Agreement on Trade in Services List of specific commitments List of MFN Exemptions TRIPS Agreement Trade Policy Review Mechanism Dispute Settlement Understanding Decisions, Declarations, etc Export Policies Programs and WTO A A A 5
Subsidies & Couterv. M Agreement on Subsidies and Countervailing Measures (SCM) Subsidies Defined Prohibited Subsidies Actionable Subsidies permitted but subject to action Non actionable Subsidies permitted and shield from action
The Agreement on Agriculture: The Three Pillars Market access Export competition Domestic support
Structure of the Agreement Market access Domestic support Export competition Tariffs Green Box Tariff Quotas Blue Box Export subsidies Special Safeguard Article 6.2 Development Programmes Anticircumvention Amber Box
Export Subsidy coverage (Article 9.1) 1. Direct subsidies contingent on export performance 2. Sale or disposal for export of non-commercial stocks at prices below domestic market price 3. Subsidies to reduce cost of marketing, including handling, upgrading, international transport and freight 4. Favourable internal transport and freight charges on export shipments 5. Subsidies on agricultural products contingent on their incorporation in exported products Art. 9.4
The right to use export subsidies Limited to 2 situations: Within the limits specified in the Schedule of each WTO Member Export subsidies consistent with article 9.4 of AoA for developing countries (marketing and domestic transport costs) By the end of 2015 only 16 members were allowed to subsidize agricultural exports
Export Competition in the DOHA Export subsidies Main issue phasing Negotiations Export credits Main issues Duration and self-financing Parallel elimination of all forms of export subsidies by 2013 (HK Ministerial Declaration) Exporting STEs Main issue monopoly powers Food Aid Main issues definition of safe box, monetisation Source: RTPC-WTO 11
Export Credits Maximum repayment term: 180 days Must be self financing (export credits, exports credits guarantees, insurance programme ) S&D for LDCs and NFIDCs.
Agricultural Exporting State Trading Enterprises (STEs) Elimination of: Export subsidies Government financing of STEs Government underwriting of losses Monopoly powers except if have small share of trade S&D for developing countries Maintain or use export monopoly powers if small share of trade
International Food Aid Objective : Prevent commercial displacement General disciplines for all food aid transactions: Needs driven provided in fully grant form Not tied to commercial exports of goods or services Not linked to market development objectives of donors Not re-exported (with exceptions Encourage the shift towards cash-based food aid
EXPORT PROMOTION AGENCIES (EPAs): A Literature Review on their Effectiveness
Service offered by EPA s Country Image building (advertising, Promotional events, advocacy) Export support services (export training, technical assistance, information on finance ) Marketing (trade fairs, missions,..) Market research and publications (general /sectoral, on line data base)
Structure Institutional Design of EPAs Administrative unit of a ministry Autonomous entity Private Source of Finance mostly government mostly private fee paying services donors Public funding seems to predominate as a source of funding
Effectiveness of Export Promotion Agencies Region Additional exports for every 1$ in the EPA budget Eastern Europe&Asia 100 Latin America &Caribbean 70 Sub-Saharan Africa 38 OECD 5 MENA -53 Source: Lederman et al. 2010 Export promotion agencies: Do they work? Journal of development economics 91(2): 257-265..
Issues of Unsuccessful EPAs Lack of strong leadership inadequate funding, too bureaucratic, not client oriented heavy government involvement Had to overcome strong anti-trade biases Source: Hogan et et al. (cited in Lerdrman et al. 2010)
Funding largely Public Successful factors Large share of the executive board private Focus on non traditional export or Broad sector orientation Focus on firms with new products or entering new markets (extensive margin) Focus on SME s (decreasing return to scale and negative marginal returns above certain budget level) Focus on both off-shore and on shore activities