Natural experiments in online social network assembly

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Transcription:

Natural experiments in online social network assembly Abigail Jacobs University of Colorado Boulder IC2S2 June 25, 2016 + Sam Way (Colorado), Johan Ugander (Stanford), Aaron Clauset (Colorado)

Assembling thefacebook: using heterogeneity to understand online social network assembly Abigail Z. Jacobs, Sam Way, Johan Ugander, Aaron Clauset Proc. ACM WebSci 2015

Assembling thefacebook: using heterogeneity to understand online social networks

General Niche Assembling thefacebook: using heterogeneity to understand online social networks Defunct

Assembling thefacebook: using heterogeneity to understand online social networks!= (offline) social networks

Assembling thefacebook: using heterogeneity to understand online social network assembly

Community composition { Ordering effects Context Competition within & between systems Assembling Natural limits on thefacebook: growth using Arrival heterogeneity (product adoption) to understand online social network assembly

Community composition { Ordering effects Context Competition within & between systems Assembling Natural limits on thefacebook: growth using Arrival heterogeneity (product adoption) to understand online social network assembly Endogenous & exogenous online, offline, social, behavioral, cultural, structural & design-based mechanisms

online social network assembly What does assembly look like? Why is it hard to measure? What processes are actually at play, supposing we could observe them? { offline & online present & historical implicit: endogenous & exogenous

online social network assembly What does assembly look like? Why is it hard to measure? What processes are actually at play, supposing we could observe them? { offline & online present & historical implicit: endogenous & exogenous

online social network assembly What does assembly look like? Why is it hard to measure? What processes are actually at play, supposing we could observe them? { offline & online present & historical implicit: endogenous & exogenous

social search vs. social browsing Lampe et al. (2006)

online social network assembly What does assembly look like? Why is it hard to measure? What processes are actually at play, supposing we could observe them? { offline & online present & historical implicit: endogenous & exogenous

Friendster launches LinkedIn launches MySpace launches Thefacebook.com launches at Harvard The Facebook expands to over 100 university networks Facebook drops the "the" Facebook100 data captured Facebook launches News Feed Facebook open to everyone 2003 2004 2005 2006 eb 1 Mar 1 Apr 1 May 1 June 1 July 1 Aug 1 Sept 1 Oct 1 Harvard Columbia Stanford Yale Cornell, Dartmouth UPenn, MIT NYU, BU Brown, Princeton, UC Berkeley Duke, Georgetown, UVA BC, Tufts, Northeastern, Illinois Florida, Wellesley, Michigan, Michigan State, Northwestern UCLA Emory, UNC, Tulane, UChicago, Rice WashU UC Davis, UC San Diego USC Caltech, UC Santa Barbara Rochester, Bucknell Williams, Amherst, Swarthmore, Wesleyan, Oberlin, Middlebury, Hamilton, Bowdoin Vanderbilt, Carnegie Mellon, Georgia, South Florida, Central Florida, Florida State, GWU, Johns Hopkins Syracuse, Notre Dame, Maryland Maine, Smith, UC Irvine, Villanova, Virginia Tech, UC Riverside, Cal Poly, Mississippi, Michigan Tech, UCSC, Indiana, Vermont, Auburn, U San Fran, Wake Forest, Santa Clara, American, Haverford, William & Mary, Miami, James Madison, UT Austin, Simmons, Binghamton, Temple, Texas A&M, Vassar, Pepperdine, Wisconsin, Colgate, Rutgers, Howard, UConn, UMass, Baylor, Penn State, Tennessee, Lehigh, Oklahoma, Reed, Brandeis Trinity (and 9 others)

online social network data Facebook100 100 U.S. university networks Users = 1,208,316 Undirected friendships = 93,969,074 Annotated user data: Gender Status (faculty/undergraduate/etc.) Year of graduation High school Major Dorm Traud, A. L.; Mucha, P. J.; and Porter, M. A. 2012. Social structure of Facebook networks. Physica A 391(16):4165 4180.

augmented data Introduced: Start dates Graduation dates Introduction of Facebook to campuses Estimated full-time undergraduate enrollment National Center for Education Statistics, Institute of Education Sciences, U.S. Department of Education Within-sample surveys circa 2005 snapshot demographics, social capital, self esteem and friending strategies {Ellison, Lampe, Steinfield} (2006,2007) privacy, profile information & sharing Acquisti and Gross (2006) social grooming & who doesn t join Facebook Tufekci (2008) Facebook friending habits online & offline Mayer and Puller (2008)

population heterogeneity in age, size mean geodesic up, clustering down Order added Order added

heterogeneity in size, age, adoption Adoption Order added

natural experiments in network assembly Facebook100 Observed in single snapshot, early Sept 2005 Facebook expanded to these first 100 networks during February-September 2004 1. Networks Access are to Facebook of different vintages Start of 2005-06 school year 2. Expansion spanned the end of the 2003-2004 school year [present/historical] 3. Beginning of 2005 school year spanned the snapshot of the data [offline/online]

natural experiments in network assembly Facebook100 Observed in single snapshot, early Sept 2005 Facebook expanded to these first 100 networks during February-September 2004 1. Networks are of different vintages 2. Expansion spanned the end of the 2003-2004 school year [present/historical] 3. Beginning of 2005 school year spanned the snapshot of the data [offline/online]

natural experiments in network assembly Facebook100 Observed in single snapshot, early Sept 2005 Facebook expanded to these first 100 networks during February-September 2004 1. Networks Access are to Facebook of different vintages Start of 2005-06 school year 2. Expansion spanned the end of the 2003-2004 school year [present/historical] present historical offline online 3. Beginning of 2005 school year spanned the snapshot of the data [offline/online]

adoption tracks with time on campus Fraction of class on FB 2008 2007 2006 2005 Graduating class year Class of 2004 2003 2002 Graduating class year ++ time on campus -- time on campus younger shared geography, present interactions older historical interactions

networks matured towards similar end states

class of 2009 natural experiment offline online

classes with more time on campus had higher adoption ++ time on campus -- time on campus

degree distributions & social strategies change with more time on campus

offline degree distributions & social strategies change with more time on campus

Unique timing & historical context of Facebook s emergence created useful heterogeneities

Unique timing & historical context of Facebook s emergence created useful heterogeneities Heterogeneities (population, treatment) can reveal underlying social processes

takeaways Context matters Assembly questions abound Network maturity vs. growth, densification; Shortest paths follow Backstrom et al. (2012) N>1 Natural experiments reveal heterogeneities in online/offline, present/historical processes Social browsing (before shared environment) vs. social search (after) Shared physical environment increases adoption Networks mature at different rates towards similar end states

Questions? THANK YOU abigail.jacobs@colorado.edu Jacobs, A.Z., Way, S.F., Ugander, J. & Clauset A. Assembling thefacebook: Using heterogeneity to understand online social network assembly. Proc. ACM WebSci (2015) arxiv:1503.06772