Quadrennial Defense Review

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1 Quadrennial Defense Review Natial Defense Authorizati Act Act Fiscal Fiscal Year Year PRESIDENT Natial Security Strategy June days after new President takes office Sep 2001 SECDEF In csultati with Cduct a Review so as : - Delineate a Natial Defense Strategy - Define: - Force Structure - Modernizati - Infrastructure - Other Elements of Program & Policy - Identify a Budget Plan - Assess Political, Strategic & Military Risk Assessment Prepare Submit: - Assessment of Review - Assessment of Risk 1

2 REPORT DOCUMENTATION PAGE Form Approved OMB No Public reporting burder this collecti of inmati is estibated average 1 hour per respse, including the time reviewing instructis, searching existing data sources, gathering maintaining the data needed, completing reviewing this collecti of inmati. Send comments regarding this burden estimate or any other aspect of this collecti of inmati, including suggestis reducing this burder Department of Defense, Washingt Headquarters Services, Direcrate Inmati Operatis s ( ), 1215 Jeffers Davis Highway, Suite 1204, Arlingt, VA Respdents should be aware that notwithsting any other provisi of law, no pers shall be subject any penalty failing comply with a collecti of inmati if it does not display a currently valid OMB ctrol number. PLEASE DO NOT RETURN YOUR FORM TO THE ABOVE ADDRESS. 1. REPORT DATE (DD-MM-YYYY) 2. REPORT TYPE Briefing 4. TITLE AND SUBTITLE Quadrennial Defense Review, Natial Defense Authorizatin Act Fiscal Year Unclassified. DATES COVERED (FROM - TO) xx-xx-2002 xx-xx a. CONTRACT NUMBER 5b. GRANT NUMBER 5c. PROGRAM ELEMENT NUMBER 6. AUTHOR(S) 5d. PROJECT NUMBER 5e. TASK NUMBER 5f. WORK UNIT NUMBER 7. PERFORMING ORGANIZATION NAME AND ADDRESS NSA xxxxx, xxxxxxx 9. SPONSORING/MONITORING AGENCY NAME AND ADDRESS United States Department of Defense Defense Modeling Simulati Office 1901 N. Beauregard St., Suite 500 Alexria, VA PERFORMING ORGANIZATION REPORT NUMBER 10. SPONSOR/MONITOR'S ACRONYM(S) 11. SPONSOR/MONITOR'S REPORT NUMBER(S) 12. DISTRIBUTION/AVAILABILITY STATEMENT APUBLIC RELEASE, 1. SUPPLEMENTARY NOTES 14. ABSTRACT? Objectives of Overall JS Eft? Develop a process that will shape defense policies? Ensure the process is strategy-based, not budget-based? Define a ce structure respsive the natial military strategy?including plans modernizati, infrastructure, resources? Build the future ce without breaking current ce 15. SUBJECT TERMS 16. SECURITY CLASSIFICATION OF: 17. LIMITATION OF ABSTRACT Public Release a. REPORT Unclassified b. ABSTRACT Unclassified c. THIS PAGE Unclassified 18. NUMBER OF PAGES NAME OF RESPONSIBLE PERSON Fenster, Lynn lfenster@dtic.mil 19b. TELEPHONE NUMBER Internatial Area Code Area Code Telephe Number DSN Stard Form 298 (Rev. 8-98) Prescribed by ANSI Std Z9.18

3 Timelines/Milestes OCT 1999 JAN APR JUL OCT JAN 2001 APR JUL OCT Phase I: Organize - Guidance - JS Offsite - JCS TANK, JROC Trip - CINCs Cference - Publish JS Notice Phase II: Prepare USCNS/21 Phase II - Joint Strategy Review - Joint Visi 2020 May 00 publicati - NMS Dec 00 publicati - DYNAMIC COMMITMENT s - Panel Analysis Definiti Today Natial Military Strategy Electi Joint Visi 2020 USCNS/21 Phase III NSS Phase III: Execute - OSD Process - Risk Assessment Process 2

4 JS Preparatis: Objectives Objectives of Overall JS Eft Develop a process that will shape defense policies Ensure the process is strategy-based, not budget-based Define a ce structure respsive the natial military strategy including plans modernizati, infrastructure, resources Build the future ce without breaking current ce Goals of JS Prepare Phase (Jan - Dec 00) Enable provide advice incoming transiti team Prepare JS Execute Phase (Jan - Sep 01) Support OSD in overall cduct of the review assessment of the review assessment of risk JS preparatis designed be open collaborative

5 JS Prepare Phase Organizati FS OF CH E I S FF TA JS GOSC JS GOSC As Needed JROC JCS OPSDEPS Service CINC inputs Joint Staff Preparati Group Direcr, JS Preparati Group VDJ-8 Integrati Group Budget, Analysis, Admin Support J8 G/FO Strategy Risk Assessment J5 G/FO Force Generati, Capability & Structure J8 G/FO Modernizati J8 G/FO Sustainment,, Strategic Mobility & Infrastructure J4 G/FO Readiness J G/FO Transmati, Innovati, & Joint Experimentati J7 G/FO Inmati Superiority J6 G/FO Human Resources J1 O-6 4

6 JS Preparati Group: Process Model Strategy Warfighting Ccepts Requirements people equipment Force Structure Resources $$ people Security Interests, Strategic Envirment Adjust No Sufficient Resources? No Acceptable Risk? Yes Yes JS Input 5

7 Summary JS preparatis are underway No intent JS efts be anything other than internal efts -- trying increase JS understing of potential pics, not provide answers Recognize the need stay potential pics Have taken positive steps ensure JS efts remain low key do not fuel public speculati or debate 6

8 Backups 7

9 Joint Strategy Review Timeline JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC Joint Visi Relook Publish JV 2020 JV 2020 Electi Joint Strategy Review Initial Scoping Dev Strategic Choices Seminar IPR Draft NMS Refine Draft Staff NMS Senior Review & Approval NMS Senior Advisory Group Reviews Review optis Review optis Review game requirements, threats, scenarios, missis Review game requirements, threats, scenarios, missis Publish NMS Recommendatis Recommendatis NMS NMS Insights Insights panels panels Optis Optis DYNAMIC DYNAMIC COMMITMENT COMMITMENT 4 4 optis optis csidered csidered against against primary primary scenarios scenarios ctingencies ctingencies from from DPG-IPS/LRS DPG-IPS/LRS Designed Designed investigate investigate benefits benefits risks risks NOT NOT designed designed produce produce the the answer answer

10 DYNAMIC COMMITMENT Timeline JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC Vignette Database Development Electi Pre- Preparati & Analysis JSR Excursi Design/ Rehearsal Assessment Senior Decisimaker Seminar Train Train Players Players Test Test Software Software Validate Validate Procedures Procedures For For Record Record versus versus Current Current Strategy Strategy Generate Generate from from Assessment Assessment Generate Generate choices choices relative relative

11 JS Panel Timeline JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC Electi Initial Planning JS Notice Meeting Published Facilitated Panel Workshops (Problem/Analysis Definiti) Panels develop pics (from the law) Integrati IPR Integrati IPR JS GOSC approval of panel charters JS GOSC approval of panel charters Focus: Focus: current current strategy/ce strategy/ce Workshops Workshops Defense Defense Agencies Agencies May: May: Educati/brainsrming Educati/brainsrming comm comm metrics metrics May: May: Cancelled/not Cancelled/not required required JS JS organizati organizati process process support support legal legal requirements requirements Open Open collaborative collaborative Focus: Focus: optis optis

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