THAAD Deployment in Korea: How to Interpret It? Executive Summary (Translated from Korean)
|
|
- Cassandra Hunter
- 5 years ago
- Views:
Transcription
1 Policy Briefing THAAD Deployment in Korea: How to Interpret It? Executive Summary (Translated from Korean) Sang Hyun Lee Senior Research Fellow I. Discussion A. On China Considering China s position and perspective, the Chinese government s vehement opposition to the deployment of the Terminal High Altitude Area Defense (THAAD) system on the Korean peninsula is inevitable. - China s geographical location on the map shows sufficient basis for its active opposition to THAAD, since it can debilitate the Chinese region of Manchuria, which is the closest in distance to the U.S. territory. Although the Chinese missiles systems are also positioned in various inland regions in China, due to their longer range, the probability of exposure and interception is high and they are also much more limited by the payload. China has been maintaining surprisingly consistent position in its opposition to THAAD deployment in Korea. - Since China perceives THAAD as a part of missile defense system, China has vigorously opposed THAAD deployment and has been maintaining that position since. During the past strategic talks between South Korea and China, the Chinese representatives expressed their strong objection by alluding the Maginot Line in Korea-China relations and possible threats by the Chinese government. - As the Chinese people often follow non-rational and unconventional line of logic, means of persuasion by rational and logical reasoning are limited and unlikely to bring about significant success. This is in part a failure of framing of the issue on the part of the Korean 1
2 foreign policy as it has closely tied the national security issues with the foreign policy and diplomatic issues between South Korea and China. China s concerns over its military strategy, foreign policy, and national security. - The Chinese concerns largely stem from its perceived inevitability of having to re-strategize its military posture and rebalance or redistribute various militaryrelated resources in the case of THAAD deployment in Korea and the resultant surveillance and exposure of its missiles capability by the U.S. China has been most concerned about a forward-deployed U.S. missile defense system as the U.S. has been pursuing a pivot to Asia strategy. - Within the domain of diplomacy and national security, as the conflictual relations between the U.S. and China appears to have become severer, China sees the issue of THAAD as a critical card that it cannot and must not lose in dealing with the U.S. China feels significant pressure regarding military arms race with the U.S. as it has experienced an indirect trauma from the past arms race competition between the U.S. and the Soviet Union. Deteriorating South Korea-China relations and China s unwillingness to cooperate on the issue of Korean unification. - The THAAD deployment will inevitably tarnish the South Korea-China relations, and as a result, it becomes more difficult for South Korea to expect coordination or cooperation from China in terms of its unification policy and strategy. - Accordingly, the areas of negotiation should address the Chinese concerns in triadic relations between South Korea, the U.S. and China. B. On Russia The cases of dissolution of the Anti-Ballistic Missile Treaty and deployment of missile defense system in Europe need to be considered. - When President George W. Bush withdrew from the ABM Treaty in 2002 and pushed to deploy missile defense system in Eastern Europe, the Putin government protested against the U.S. move. The Obama administration then attempted to ameliorate Russia s concerns by taking a phased approach toward the complete deployment of missile defense system in Eastern Europe and communicating to Russia that its main target is Iran, not Russia. - Contrary to the case of Europe, however, amid intense security threats posed by North Korea, South Korea cannot just stand behind or sit out of the negotiation process with China regarding THAAD deployment, letting the U.S. negotiate bilaterally with China. 2
3 II. Issues In the European case, not only the level of threats was not imminent, but the negotiation took place within the multilateral alliance framework of NATO. Case studies and more research on Russia s retaliatory sanctions against the Czech Republic and Poland are needed. - Whether Russia did actually take any type of retaliatory measures or economic sanctions against the Czech Republic or Poland needs to be explored further. China has articulated its perception that THAAD deployment in Korea will only strengthen the security alliance between Korea, the U.S., and Japan, in which case the Chinese government has no option but to treat South Korea as an enemy, insinuating that it could retaliate or impose sanctions against Korea. A. Costs and Benefits of THAAD Deployment The astronomical cost of THAAD deployment here in Korea and the worsening diplomatic relations with China can be all mitigated if the missile defense capability and effectiveness of THAAD is sufficiently proven. Nonetheless, as the missile interception capability of THAAD appears to be limited, the cost effectiveness of its deployment is doubtful. - If North Korea fires 1/10 of its battle-ready missiles that is, 100 out of 1,000 forward positioned missiles THAAD becomes useless. Deterrence by Denial Effects Possible - As a missile defense system, THAAD is a defensive weapon. Thus, logically, it makes sense to deploy THAAD in Korea considering its effects of deterrence by denial. Regarding the capability and effectiveness of THAAD, South Korea s major concern may be possible failure of interception and penetration of one among many North Korean missiles (even 1% of failure rate). On the flip side of the coin, North Korea may be concerned about a 100% interception scenario. B. Concerns Over China s Retaliation and Economic Sanctions Scenario 1: It is expected that China will use a certain degree of retaliatory measures through economic channels. - China has been alluding to possible threats of retaliation in the case of THAAD deployment in Korea. As South Korea s economy depends heavily on China, the Korean government cannot ignore the possibility of significant economic blows arising from trade conflicts with China worse than the previous so-called, Garlic Trade Dispute. 3
4 Scenario 2: China cannot use economic sanctions. - The current trade patterns between South Korea and China show that Korea s major export items to China are mostly intermediate or semi-finished goods, and that the volume of consumer goods export remains at a negligible level. - Moreover, as the Chinese economy continues down the path of relative stagnation compared to the early 2000s, the Chinese government faces more barriers in severing economic relations with Korea. Korea s three-step strategy in response to China s possible retaliation and sanctions 1) South Korea needs to articulate and communicate clearly to China the harmful effects of halting semi-finished goods imports from Korea. 2) If China manipulates in terms of its exports of consumer products, South Korea should seek international adjudicatory measure by bringing a suit to the World Trade Organization. 3) South Korea should bring the issue to the U.S. and persuade the U.S. Treasury Department to designate China as a major currency manipulator in order to punish China through global financial and monetary means. III. Areas of Improvement for Further Discussion A. Need for understanding the macro-level and comprehensive character of the issue There exist numerous factors behind the Korean government s decision of making it official the discussion of possible THAAD deployment with the U.S. These factors may include (1) the necessity to strongly respond with military means to North Korea s recent nuclear weapons and missiles tests, (2) the need to put pressure on China, and (3) the need to maintain close relations with the U.S. - The fact that China perceives the issue of THAAD deployment in Korea not only through the prism of security dimension but also a behavioral problem suggests that the THAAD issue is more than a military concern for China. Accordingly, South Korea should also approach the discussion and decision on THAAD from a multidimensional perspective, and should not treat it merely as an issue concerning military strategy. - Also, the uncompromising behavior of China does not seem appropriate considering that China did not put up a fight against THAAD and X-band radar deployment in Japan. B. Need for considering THAAD deployment within the comprehensive framework of national strategy The Pros and Cons of the THAAD Debate - The opinions in favor of THAAD deployment in Korea are based on the notion 4
5 that Korea should treat it as a critical national interest, not relying on the vague notion of strategic importance. - Those opposed to deployment argue that it will instigate a new era of the Cold War, and that Korea s security and economic interests are significantly at stake. Although various opinions may arise on the question of the utility of THAAD, there exists a consensus on the notion that South Korea should make decisions considering its national strategy. - The core characteristic of the current international order consists of a decline of the U.S. and a rising China. The THAAD deployment should be considered within this broader global environment. - China s persistent objection to THAAD often exhibits unfounded logic. Although the Chinese officials raise concerns regarding THAAD deployment, it is often dubious whether their contentions are based on sufficient factual knowledge. - For South Korea, it is essential to better understand the current and future trajectory of the international order while engaging in discussion on THAAD. The idea of damaging Korea-China relations and emergence of a severe bipolarity in East Asia, or any other type of determinism should be avoided. C. South Korea as a middle power must approach others with confidence. Since the government of South Korea has already announced that it is officially engaging in discussion on THAAD with the U.S., further discussion and debate should be focused on the political background and motivation of the government s decision, not on the minor details. In terms of South Korea s foreign policy and diplomatic approach, it is necessary that Korea no longer subscribe to the mindset of a small or minor country but to use its middle power status. - On the THAAD conflict between Korea and China, China may be holding Korea a hostage as it engages in a tug-of-war. - In this regard, there still exist some enduring effects from the millennia of the Chinese tribute system in Korea. This China trauma of a sort needs to be overcome. 5
Steven Pifer on the China-U.S.-Russia Triangle and Strategy on Nuclear Arms Control
Steven Pifer on the China-U.S.-Russia Triangle and Strategy on Nuclear Arms Control (approximate reconstruction of Pifer s July 13 talk) Nuclear arms control has long been thought of in bilateral terms,
More informationChina, Missile Defense and Implication A consulting paper for the Federation of American Scientists April 28, 2017
China, Missile Defense and Implication A consulting paper for the Federation of American Scientists April 28, 2017 Shen Dingli Professor and Associate Dean Institute of International Studies Fudan University
More informationHOMELAND SECURITY PRESIDENTIAL DIRECTIVE-4. Subject: National Strategy to Combat Weapons of Mass Destruction
[National Security Presidential Directives -17] HOMELAND SECURITY PRESIDENTIAL DIRECTIVE-4 Unclassified version December 2002 Subject: National Strategy to Combat Weapons of Mass Destruction "The gravest
More informationTHAAD and the Military Balance in Asia
Fitzpatrick THAAD and the Military Balance in Asia THAAD and the Military Balance in Asia An Interview with Mark Fitzpatrick On July 8, 2016, the United States and South Korea announced a decision to deploy
More informationChapter Nineteen Reading Guide American Foreign & Defense Policy. Answer each question as completely as possible and in blue or black ink only
Chapter Nineteen Reading Guide American Foreign & Defense Policy Answer each question as completely as possible and in blue or black ink only 1. What are the roots of U.S. Foreign and Defense Policy? 1.
More informationChapter 17: Foreign Policy and National Defense Section 3
Chapter 17: Foreign Policy and National Defense Section 3 Objectives 1. Summarize American foreign policy from independence through World War I. 2. Show how the two World Wars affected America s traditional
More informationIssue 16-04B (No. 707) March 22, THAAD 2. CHINA S CORE KOREA POLICY 3. UN SANCTIONS WHICH ONE NEXT? 5.
1 Issue 16-04B (No. 707) March 22, 2016 1. THAAD 2. CHINA S CORE KOREA POLICY 3. UN SANCTIONS 2016 4. WHICH ONE NEXT? 5. EAGLE HUNTING 1. THAAD 2 THAAD carries no warhead. It is a purely defensive system.
More informationNATIONAL INSTITUTE FOR PUBLIC POLICY. National Missile Defense: Why? And Why Now?
NATIONAL INSTITUTE FOR PUBLIC POLICY National Missile Defense: Why? And Why Now? By Dr. Keith B. Payne President, National Institute for Public Policy Adjunct Professor, Georgetown University Distributed
More informationTowards a European Non-Proliferation Strategy. May 23, 2003, Paris
Gustav LINDSTRÖM Burkard SCHMITT IINSTITUTE NOTE Towards a European Non-Proliferation Strategy May 23, 2003, Paris The seminar focused on three proliferation dimensions: missile technology proliferation,
More informationNUCLEAR ARMS CONTROL: CHALLENGES AND OPPORTUNITIES IN Steven Pifer Senior Fellow Director, Arms Control Initiative October 10, 2012
NUCLEAR ARMS CONTROL: CHALLENGES AND OPPORTUNITIES IN 2013 Steven Pifer Senior Fellow Director, Arms Control Initiative October 10, 2012 Lecture Outline How further nuclear arms reductions and arms control
More informationBallistic missile defence
Analysis Ballistic missile defence NATO s European Phased Adaptive Approach James Fergusson With various countries developing ballistic missiles and/or nuclear weapons, ballistic missile defence (BMD)
More informationEuropean Parliament Nov 30, 2010
European Parliament Nov 30, 2010 1. Introduction Good morning, Ladies and Gentlemen! I will very shortly remind you what MBDA is: a world leading missile system company, with facilities in France, Germany,
More informationRemarks by President Bill Clinton On National Missile Defense
Remarks by President Bill Clinton On National Missile Defense Arms Control Today Remarks by President Bill Clinton On National Missile Defense President Bill Clinton announced September 1 that he would
More informationForeign Policy and National Defense. Chapter 22
Foreign Policy and National Defense Chapter 22 Historical Perspective 1 st 150 years of U.S. existence Emphasis on Domestic Affairs vs. Foreign Affairs Foreign Policy The strategies and goals that guide
More informationNuclear Forces: Restore the Primacy of Deterrence
December 2016 Nuclear Forces: Restore the Primacy of Deterrence Thomas Karako Overview U.S. nuclear deterrent forces have long been the foundation of U.S. national security and the highest priority of
More informationDeployment of the THAAD System to South Korea Background and Issues Osamu Koike, Research Fellow, Security Studies Department
Deployment of the THAAD System to South Korea Background and Issues Osamu Koike, Research Fellow, Security Studies Department No. 58 March 28, 2017 Introduction On December 12, 2017, North Korea launched
More informationItaly s Nuclear Anniversary: Fake Reassurance For a King s Ransom
Italy s Nuclear Anniversary: Fake Reassurance For a King s Ransom Posted on Jun.30, 2014 in NATO, Nuclear Weapons, United States by Hans M. Kristensen A new placard at Ghedi Air Base implies that U.S.
More informationBackground Briefing: Vietnam: President Obama Visits Vietnam - 15 Carlyle A. Thayer May 23, 2016
Thayer Consultancy ABN # 65 648 097 123 Background Briefing: Vietnam: President Obama Visits Vietnam - 15 Carlyle A. Thayer May 23, 2016 [client name deleted] Q1. What do you think is the primary goal
More informationMissile Defense: A View from Warsaw
Working Paper Research Division European and Atlantic Security Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik German Institute for International and Security Affairs Elisabieta Horoszko : A View from Warsaw FG03-WP
More informationWhy Japan Should Support No First Use
Why Japan Should Support No First Use Last year, the New York Times and the Washington Post reported that President Obama was considering ruling out the first-use of nuclear weapons, as one of several
More informationUS-China Relations Report, Vol. 5. US-China Relations and the Korean Peninsula
US-China Relations Report, Vol. 5 US-China Relations and the Korean Peninsula Hideya Kurata (Professor, National Defense Academy of Japan) *This report is part of the research findings of US-China Relations
More informationThe Evolution of Missile Defense Plan from Bush to Obama. Implications for the National Security of Romania
The Evolution of Missile Defense Plan from Bush to Obama. Implications for the National Security of Romania Ruxandra-Laura BOSILCA 1 * *Corresponding author National School of Political and Administrative
More informationForeign Policy and National Defense. Chapter 22
Foreign Policy and National Defense Chapter 22 Historical Perspective 1 st 150 years of U.S. existence Emphasis on Domestic Affairs vs. Foreign Affairs Foreign Policy The strategies and goals that guide
More informationSUMMARY OF NATIONAL DEFENSE PROGRAM GUIDELINES. for FY 2011 and beyond
(Provisional Translation) SUMMARY OF NATIONAL DEFENSE PROGRAM GUIDELINES for FY 2011 and beyond Approved by the Security Council and the Cabinet on December 17, 2010 I. NDPG s Objective II. Basic Principles
More informationMatt Phipps Dr. Patrick Donnay, Advisor
Matt Phipps Dr. Patrick Donnay, Advisor The importance of this issue is monumental because it shows that current world events may have a serious impact on our lives. It is also important to understand
More informationNukes: Who Will Have the Bomb in the Middle East? Dr. Gary Samore. WCFIA/CMES Middle East Seminar Harvard University October 4, 2018
Nukes: Who Will Have the Bomb in the Middle East? Dr. Gary Samore WCFIA/CMES Middle East Seminar Harvard University October 4, 2018 I d like to thank Lenore Martin and the WCFIA/CMES Middle East Seminar
More informationCold War
Cold War - 1945-1989 -A worldwide struggle for power between the United States and the Soviet Union -It never resulted in direct military conflict between the superpowers (they were each afraid of Nuclear
More informationTHE NUCLEAR WORLD IN THE EARLY 21 ST CENTURY
THE NUCLEAR WORLD IN THE EARLY 21 ST CENTURY SITUATION WHO HAS NUCLEAR WEAPONS: THE COLD WAR TODAY CURRENT THREATS TO THE U.S.: RUSSIA NORTH KOREA IRAN TERRORISTS METHODS TO HANDLE THE THREATS: DETERRENCE
More informationInternational Nonproliferation Regimes after the Cold War
The Sixth Beijing ISODARCO Seminar on Arms Control October 29-Novermber 1, 1998 Shanghai, China International Nonproliferation Regimes after the Cold War China Institute for International Strategic Studies
More informationNATIONAL DEFENSE PROGRAM GUIDELINES, FY 2005-
(Provisional Translation) NATIONAL DEFENSE PROGRAM GUIDELINES, FY 2005- Approved by the Security Council and the Cabinet on December 10, 2004 I. Purpose II. Security Environment Surrounding Japan III.
More informationNuclear Physics 7. Current Issues
Nuclear Physics 7 Current Issues How close were we to nuclear weapons use? Examples (not all) Korean war (1950-1953) Eisenhower administration considers nuclear weapons to end stalemate Indochina war (1946-1954)
More informationNational Security Policy: American National Security Policy 1
National Security Policy: 1950-1952 Policy 1 Review: 1945-1949 Dominant Threat Economy National Security Strategy Military demobilization Economic aid to threatened interests Truman Doctrine Political-economic
More informationThe Logic of American Nuclear Strategy: Why Strategic Superiority Matters
The Logic of American Nuclear Strategy: Why Strategic Superiority Matters Matthew Kroenig Associate Professor of Government and Foreign Service Georgetown University Senior Fellow Scowcroft Center on Strategy
More informationChapter , McGraw-Hill Education. All Rights Reserved.
Chapter 17 The Roots of U.S. Foreign and Defense Policy The cold war era and its lessons Containment Vietnam Bipolar (power structure) 17-2 The Roots of U.S. Foreign and Defense Policy The post-cold war
More informationAmerican Public Attitudes toward North Korea s Nuclear and Missile Programs
American Public Attitudes toward North Korea s Nuclear and Missile Programs Presented at a panel on Confronting North Korea s nuclear and missile programs: American and Japanese views of threats and options
More informationChina U.S. Strategic Stability
The Nuclear Order Build or Break Carnegie Endowment for International Peace Washington, D.C. April 6-7, 2009 China U.S. Strategic Stability presented by Robert L. Pfaltzgraff, Jr. This panel has been asked
More informationNATO s Diminishing Military Function
NATO s Diminishing Military Function May 30, 2017 The alliance lacks a common threat and is now more focused on its political role. By Antonia Colibasanu NATO heads of state met to inaugurate the alliance
More informationSection 6. South Asia
Section 6. South Asia 1. India 1. General Situation India is surrounded by many countries and has long coastlines totaling 7,600km. The country has the world, s second largest population of more than one
More informationStatement and Recommendations of the Co-Chairs of the 3 rd Panel on Peace and Security of Northeast Asia (PSNA) Workshop
Statement and Recommendations of the Co-Chairs of the 3 rd Panel on Peace and Security of Northeast Asia (PSNA) Workshop Moscow, May 31- June 1 st, 2018 Sponsored by the Research Center for Nuclear Weapons
More informationThe Future Nuclear Arms Control Agenda and Its Potential Implications for the Air Force
The Future Nuclear Arms Control Agenda and Its Potential Implications for the Air Force Dr. Lewis A. Dunn INSS OCCASIONAL PAPER AUGUST 2015 70 US AIR FORCE INSTITUTE FOR NATIONAL SECURITY STUDIES USAF
More informationSection 4 Russia. 1. General Situation. 2. Security and Defense Policies. 1. Basic Posture. Part l Security Environment Surrounding Japan
Section 4 Russia 1. General Situation Russia claims that under former President Putin it has overcome the crisis situation of the 1990s and returned to the international community as a strong state that
More informationTHE WHITE HOUSE WASHINGTON. December 16, 2002
10694 THE WHITE HOUSE WASHINGTON December 16, 2002 NATIONAL SECURITY PRESIDENTIAL DIRECTIVE/NSPD-23 MEMORANDUM FOR THE VICE PRESIDENT THE SECRETARY OF STATE THE SECRETARY OF THE TREASURY THE SECRETARY
More informationStrategic Arms Limitation Treaty (SALT) I and II
Strategic Arms Limitation Treaty (SALT) I and II The Strategic Arms Limitation Treaty (SALT) refers to two arms control treaties SALT I and SALT II that were negotiated over ten years, from 1969 to 1979.
More informationArms Control and Nonproliferation: A Catalog of Treaties and Agreements
Arms Control and Nonproliferation: A Catalog of Treaties and Agreements Amy F. Woolf Specialist in Nuclear Weapons Policy Mary Beth Nikitin Specialist in Nonproliferation Paul K. Kerr Analyst in Nonproliferation
More informationSection 6. South Asia
Section 6. South Asia 1. India 1. General Situation India is surrounded by many countries and has long coastlines totaling 7,600km. The country has the world s second largest population of more than one
More informationPakistan, Russia and the Threat to the Afghan War
Pakistan, Russia and the Threat to the Afghan War November 30, 2011 0338 GMT By George Friedman Days after the Pakistanis closed their borders to the passage of fuel and supplies for the NATO-led war effort
More informationEXECUTIVE SUMMARY. Global value chains and globalisation. International sourcing
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 7 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Global value chains and globalisation The pace and scale of today s globalisation is without precedent and is associated with the rapid emergence of global value chains
More informationGuided Notes. Chapter 21; the Cold War Begins. Section 1:
Guided Notes Chapter 21; the Cold War Begins Section 1: A Clash of Interests (pages 654 655) A. After War, the United and the Union became, leading to an of and that from about to known as the. B. were
More informationCHINA S WHITE PAPER ON MILITARY STRATEGY
CHINA S WHITE PAPER ON MILITARY STRATEGY Capt.HPS Sodhi, Senior Fellow, CAPS Introduction On 26 May 15, Chinese Ministry of National Defense released a White paper on China s Military Strategy i. The paper
More informationMissile Defense: Time to Go Big
December 2016 Missile Defense: Time to Go Big Thomas Karako Overview Nations around the world continue to develop a growing range of ballistic and cruise missiles to asymmetrically threaten U.S. forces,
More informationUS-Russian Nuclear Disarmament: Current Record and Possible Further Steps 1. Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Sergei Ryabkov
US-Russian Nuclear Disarmament: Current Record and Possible Further Steps 1 Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Sergei Ryabkov Nuclear disarmament is getting higher and higher on international agenda. The
More informationForeign Policy and Homeland Security
Foreign Policy and Homeland Security 1 Outline Background Marshall Plan and NATO United Nations Military build-up and nuclear weapons Intelligence agencies and the Iraq war Foreign aid Select issues in
More informationDepartment of Defense DIRECTIVE. SUBJECT: Assistant Secretary of Defense for International Security Policy (ASD(ISP))
Department of Defense DIRECTIVE NUMBER 5111.14 March 22, 2005 SUBJECT: Assistant Secretary of Defense for International Security Policy (ASD(ISP)) DA&M References: (a) Title 10, United States Code (b)
More informationWhat if the Obama Administration Changes US Nuclear Policy? Potential Effects on the Strategic Nuclear War Plan
What if the Obama Administration Changes US Nuclear Policy? Potential Effects on the Strategic Nuclear War Plan Hans M. Kristensen hkristensen@fas.org 202-454-4695 Presentation to "Building Up or Breaking
More informationThe Korean Peninsula situation after the UN resolution 2270 Wang Junsheng
The Korean Peninsula situation after the UN resolution 2270 Wang Junsheng National Institute of International Strategy, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences (CASS). Ⅰ. Why China supports the UN resolution
More informationA Global History of the Nuclear Arms Race
SUB Hamburg A/602564 A Global History of the Nuclear Arms Race Weapons, Strategy, and Politics Volume 1 RICHARD DEAN BURNS AND JOSEPH M. SIRACUSA Praeger Security International Q PRAEGER AN IMPRINT OF
More informationThe 38 th Security Consultative Meeting Joint Communiqué
The 38 th Security Consultative Meeting Joint Communiqué October 20, 2006, Washington D.C. 1. The 38 th Republic of Korea-United States Security Consultative Meeting (SCM) was held in Washington, D.C.
More informationSSUSH20 The student will analyze the domestic and international impact of the Cold War on the United States.
SSUSH20 The student will analyze the domestic and international impact of the Cold War on the United States. The Cold War The Cold War (1947-1991) was the era of confrontation and competition beginning
More informationThe Cold War Conflicts
Name: The Cold War Conflicts United States vs. Soviet Union (U.S.S.R.) Contrast Compare Contrast Cold War: United Nations: Formed in 1945 because many nations wanted to promote The Marshall Plan: UN: United
More informationChapter 4 The Iranian Threat
Chapter 4 The Iranian Threat From supporting terrorism and the Assad regime in Syria to its pursuit of nuclear arms, Iran poses the greatest threat to American interests in the Middle East. Through a policy
More informationBallistic Missile Defense in Poland: Did the Costs Outweigh the Benefits?
Ballistic Missile Defense in Poland: Did the Costs Outweigh the Benefits? Colonel Steven D. Dubriske Introduction The government of Poland has addressed a number of difficult national security issues since
More informationDebate on THAAD Deployment and ROK National Security
Debate on THAAD Deployment and ROK National Security Kyung-young Chung Institute of Foreign & Security Policy on East Asia October 2015 EAI Working Paper Knowledge-Net for a Better World The East Asia
More informationTechnical parameters of the 9K720 Iskander (SS-26 Stone)
AARMS Vol. 7, No. 4 (2008) 705 710 TECHNOLOGY Technical parameters of the 9K720 Iskander (SS-26 Stone) JÁNOS DEÁK Miklós Zrínyi National Defence University, Budapest, Hungary The Iskander Missile System
More informationChapter 16: National Security Policymaking
1. With the fall of the Berlin Wall, the U.S. (A) was the only superpower. (B) saw Communism as the principal threat. (C) knew it was invulnerable. (D) saw the world as a more threatening place. Chapter
More informationII. Arms transfers and tensions in North East Asia
424 MILITARY SPENDING AND ARMAMENTS, 2014 II. Arms transfers and tensions in North East Asia SIEMON T. WEZEMAN There were a number of significant international security developments in North East Asia
More informationThe Cold War Begins. Chapter 16 &18 (old) Focus Question: How did U.S. leaders respond to the threat of Soviet expansion in Europe?
The Cold War Begins Chapter 16 &18 (old) Focus Question: How did U.S. leaders respond to the threat of Soviet expansion in Europe? 1 Post WW II Europe Divided 2 Section 1 Notes: Stalin does not allow free
More informationUNIDIR RESOURCES IDEAS FOR PEACE AND SECURITY. Practical Steps towards Transparency of Nuclear Arsenals January Introduction
IDEAS FOR PEACE AND SECURITY UNIDIR RESOURCES Practical Steps towards Transparency of Nuclear Arsenals January 2012 Pavel Podvig WMD Programme Lead, UNIDIR Introduction Nuclear disarmament is one the key
More informationCentral Asian Military and Security Forces
Central Asian Military and Security Forces ASSESSING THE IMPACT OF FOREIGN ASSISTANCE PONARS Eurasia Policy Memo No. 297 September 2013 Dmitry Gorenburg CNA; Harvard University As the drawdown of U.S.
More informationSSUSH23 Assess the political, economic, and technological changes during the Reagan, George H.W. Bush, Clinton, George W.
SSUSH23 Assess the political, economic, and technological changes during the Reagan, George H.W. Bush, Clinton, George W. Bush, and Obama administrations. a. Analyze challenges faced by recent presidents
More informationNUCLEAR ARMS CONTROL: THE END OF HISTORY?
NUCLEAR ARMS CONTROL: THE END OF HISTORY? Dr. Alexei Arbatov Chairman of the Carnegie Moscow Center s Nonproliferation Program Head of the Center for International Security at the Institute of World Economy
More informationA Stable Transition to a New Nuclear Order Berlin GMF Workshop, December 15-16, 2014 Judith Reppy and Catherine M. Kelleher, Conveners
A Stable Transition to a New Nuclear Order Berlin GMF Workshop, December 15-16, 2014 Judith Reppy and Catherine M. Kelleher, Conveners Jessica Gottesman, Rapporteur Summary 16 March 2015 A Stable Transition
More informationNATO s Ballistic Missile Defense Plans a game changer? February 22, 2011
UNIDIR/IFSH Presentation Geneva, Palais des Nations NATO s Ballistic Missile Defense Plans a game changer? February 22, 2011 Götz Neuneck, Hans Christian Gils, Christian Alwardt IFSH, University of Hamburg
More informationThe U.S. arms sale modeof Direct Commercial Sale influence on Taiwan Military Industry development. Outline
The U.S. arms sale modeof Direct Commercial Sale influence on Taiwan Military Industry development Outline Introduction In the U.S. foreign arms sale, there are two modes, Foreign Military Sale (FMS) and
More informationU.S. Nuclear Policy and World Nuclear Situation
U.S. Nuclear Policy and World Nuclear Situation Presentation by Hans M. Kristensen (consultant, Natural Resources Defense Council) Phone: (202) 513-6249 / 289-6868 Website: http://www.nukestrat.com To
More informationZAPAD 2017: Russia Demonstrating its Combat Readiness to NATO
ZAPAD 2017: Russia Demonstrating its Combat Readiness to NATO Keywords: ZAPAD 2017, Joint Military Exercise, Russia, Belarus, NATO, Defensive Capabilities 75/17 Chandra Rekha Associate Fellow, CAPS The
More informationAMERICA S ARMY: THE STRENGTH OF THE NATION AS OF: AUGUST
AS OF: AUGUST 2010 1 Overview Background Objectives Signatories Major Provisions Implementation and Compliance (I&C) U.S. Army Space and Missile Defense Command / Army Forces Strategic Command (USASMDC/ARSTRAT)
More informationmm*. «Stag GAO BALLISTIC MISSILE DEFENSE Information on Theater High Altitude Area Defense (THAAD) and Other Theater Missile Defense Systems 1150%
GAO United States General Accounting Office Testimony Before the Committee on Foreign Relations, U.S. Senate For Release on Delivery Expected at 10:00 a.m.,edt Tuesday May 3,1994 BALLISTIC MISSILE DEFENSE
More informationIran Nuclear Deal: The Limits of Diplomatic Niceties
Iran Nuclear Deal: The Limits of Diplomatic Niceties Nov. 1, 2017 Public statements don t guarantee a change in policy. By Jacob L. Shapiro Though the rhetoric around the Iran nuclear deal has at times
More informationUS Aerospace Exports: The Case for Further Controls
US Aerospace Exports: The Case for Further Controls Henry Sokolski Executive Director The Nonproliferation Policy Education Center 1718 M Street, NW, Suite 244 Washington, D.C. 20036 npec@npec-web.org
More informationNew Opportunities and Challenges (Ver. 2.0)
The Japan-U.S. Alliance in a New Defense Guidelines Era Carnegie Endowment for International Peace A Japan s View: New Opportunities and Challenges (Ver. 2.0) Yoichi Kato National Security Correspondent
More informationDr. M. Lucy Stojak. Institute for International Law, KULeuven 19 February 2008
Space and Security Dr. M. Lucy Stojak mlstojak@videotron.ca Institute for International Law, KULeuven 19 February 2008 Defining Periods Cold War Era Bipolar world Military activities supported stabilizing
More informationUS Nuclear Policy: A Mixed Message
US Nuclear Policy: A Mixed Message Hans M. Kristensen* The Monthly Komei (Japan) June 2013 Four years ago, a newly elected President Barack Obama reenergized the international arms control community with
More informationAn Alternative to New START
An Alternative to New START Baker Spring Abstract: Finding an effective alternative to New START should begin by recognizing that today s world of emerging new independent nuclear weapons powers demands
More informationTEKS 8C: Calculate percent composition and empirical and molecular formulas. Cold War Tensions
Cold War Tensions Objectives Understand how two sides faced off in Europe during the Cold War. Learn how nuclear weapons threatened the world. Understand how the Cold War spread globally. Compare and contrast
More informationSTANDARD VUS.13a. STANDARD VUS.13b
STANDARD VUS.13a The student will demonstrate knowledge of United States foreign policy since World War II by describing outcomes of World War II, including political boundary changes, the formation of
More informationBallistic Missile Defense Update
Ballistic Missile Defense Update DISTRIBUTION STATEMENT A. Approved for public release; distribution is unlimited. To: 2017 Space And Missile Defense Conference By: Lieutenant General Samuel A. Greaves,
More informationA/55/116. General Assembly. United Nations. General and complete disarmament: Missiles. Contents. Report of the Secretary-General
United Nations General Assembly Distr.: General 6 July 2000 Original: English A/55/116 Fifty-fifth session Item 74 (h) of the preliminary list* General and complete disarmament: Missiles Report of the
More informationThe Nuclear Powers and Disarmament Prospects and Possibilities 1. William F. Burns
Nuclear Disarmament, Non-Proliferation and Development Pontifical Academy of Sciences, Scripta Varia 115, Vatican City 2010 www.pas.va/content/dam/accademia/pdf/sv115/sv115-burns.pdf The Nuclear Powers
More informationCHINA TURKEY MISSILE DEFENCE COOPERATION
CHINA TURKEY MISSILE DEFENCE COOPERATION Debalina Ghoshal Associate Fellow, CAPS An interesting development in recent times has been the nascent talks of missile defence cooperation between China and Turkey.
More informationName: Reading Questions 9Y
Name: Reading Questions 9Y Gulf of Tonkin 1. According to this document, what did the North Vietnamese do? 2. Why did the United States feel compelled to respond at this point? 3. According to this document,
More informationLAB4-W12: Nation Under Attack: Live Cyber- Exercise
LAB4-W12: Nation Under Attack: Live Cyber- Exercise A sophisticated cyberattack is in progress against the United States. Multiple industries are impacted and things are about to get much worse. How will
More informationChina s Strategic Force Modernization: Issues and Implications
China s Strategic Force Modernization: Issues and Implications Phillip C. Saunders & Jing-dong Yuan Center for Nonproliferation Studies Monterey Institute of International Studies Discussion Paper Prepared
More informationARMS CONTROL, SECURITY COOPERATION AND U.S. RUSSIAN RELATIONS
# 78 VALDAI PAPERS November 2017 www.valdaiclub.com ARMS CONTROL, SECURITY COOPERATION AND U.S. RUSSIAN RELATIONS Steven Pifer About the Author Steven Pifer Non-Resident Senior Fellow in the Arms Control
More informationContainment. Brinkmanship. Detente. Glasnost. Revolution. Event Year Policy HoW/Why? Name
Brinkmanship Containment Name Event Year Policy HoW/Why? Detente Glasnost Revolution Cuban Missile Crisis In October of 1962 the Soviet Union deployed nuclear missiles in Cuba. The United States blockaded
More informationStatement of Vice Admiral Albert H. Konetzni, Jr. USN (Retired) Before the Projection Forces Subcommittee of the House Armed Services Committee
Statement of Vice Admiral Albert H. Konetzni, Jr. USN (Retired) Before the Projection Forces Subcommittee of the House Armed Services Committee Chairman Bartlett and members of the committee, thank you
More informationPENTAGON SPENDING AT HISTORICALLY HIGH LEVELS FOR OVER A DECADE
July 2017 For more information, contact Anthony Wier at fcnlinfo@fcnl.org PENTAGON SPENDING AT HISTORICALLY HIGH LEVELS FOR OVER A DECADE Discretionary outlays for budget function 050 [national defense];
More informationArms Control Today. U.S. Missile Defense Programs at a Glance
U.S. Missile Defense Programs at a Glance Arms Control Today For the past five decades, the United States has debated, researched, and worked on the development of defenses to protect U.S. territory against
More informationTHE MILITARY STRATEGY OF THE REPUBLIC OF LITHUANIA
APPROVED by the order No. V-252 of the Minister of National Defence of the Republic of Lithuania, 17 March 2016 THE MILITARY STRATEGY OF THE REPUBLIC OF LITHUANIA 2 TABLE OF CONTENTS I CHAPTER. General
More informationThe Necessity of Human Intelligence in Modern Warfare Bruce Scott Bollinger United States Army Sergeants Major Academy Class # 35 SGM Foreman 31 July
The Necessity of Human Intelligence in Modern Warfare Bruce Scott Bollinger United States Army Sergeants Major Academy Class # 35 SGM Foreman 31 July 2009 Since the early days of the Revolutionary War,
More informationMedia Backgrounder: Nuclear Weapons and the Foreign Policy Debate
Media Backgrounder: Nuclear Weapons and the Foreign Policy Debate Pressroom Backgrounder: Nuclear Weapons, National Security, and the October 22 Foreign Policy Debate For Immediate Release: October 22,
More information