CASE STUDY: SRI LANKA. AID FOR TRADE EXPERT DIALOGUE BANGKOK, 18 th Nov. 2013

Transcription

1 CASE STUDY: SRI LANKA AID FOR TRADE EXPERT DIALOGUE BANGKOK, 18 th Nov. 2013

2 Outline 1. Preparation Stage 2. Implementation Stage 3. Preliminary Results 4. Verdict 2

3 1. Preparation stage Research Team Chandana Karunaratne Research Officer, IPS Ashani Abayasekara Research Officer, IPS Tharaka Hettiarachchi Project Intern, IPS 3

4 1. Preparation stage Performance Reviews Debt Statistics Foreign Aid Reviews OECD QWIDS Database Literature Review Logical Frameworks Environmental Monitoring Reports Budgets 4

5 1. Preparation stage Stakeholder Mapping Joint Apparel Association Forum Delegation of the European Union Asian Development Bank Sri Lanka Ports Authority Export Manufacturing Firms Department of Commerce Department of External Resources Export Manufacturing Firms Ceylon Chamber of Commerce Attendees of Workshops and Trainings Logistics Providers 5

6 2. Implementation stage Overview of AfT in Sri Lanka Figure 1: Aid-for-Trade Flows into Sri Lanka, ,000 USD thousands, 2011 constant prices 500, , , , ,000 Total AfT Flows Economic Infrastructure Building Productive Capacity Trade Policy and Regulations Year Source: OECD-DAC, Aid activity database (CRS),

7 2. Implementation stage Overview of AfT in Sri Lanka Figure 2: Contribution of Top AfT Donors ( average) 3% 3% 2% 2% Japan 23% 67% World Bank Denmark EU Institutions France Spain Source: OECD/WTO, 2011, Aid for Trade at a Glance 2011: Showing Results, available: [ 7

8 2. Implementation stage Project Selection: Average Scores Colombo Port Expansion Project (ADB) 86% Sri Lanka Trade Development Project (EU) 77% Sri Lanka Port Management and Maritime Safety Training (KOICA) 76% SME Regional Development Project (ADB) 71% Increased Competitiveness in the Global Marketplace (USAID) 63% Trade Negotiation Workshop in Agriculture (FAO) 40% Small and Micro Industries Promotion Project (JBIC) 34% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Source: Authors own calculations based on evaluation criteria given in Adhikari and Bajracharya (2013). 8

9 2. Implementation stage Project Selection: Sri Lanka Trade Development Project 100% 80% 60% 40% 20% 0% Category Objectives Time-frame Availability of Information Modality of Delivery Private Sector Willingness to Cooperate Avg. Score: 77% 9

10 2. Implementation stage Project Selection: Colombo Port Expansion Project 100% 80% 60% 40% 20% 0% Category Objectives Time-frame Availability Modality of of Delivery Information Private Sector Willingness to Cooperate Score: 86% 10

11 2. Implementation stage Data Gathering Method Qualitative Approach Face-to-face Interviews Phone Interviews Questionnaires 11

12 Five Pillars of Evaluation Relevance Efficiency Effectiveness Impact Sustainability 12

13 PROJECT 1: SRI LANKA TRADE DEVELOPMENT PROJECT 13

14 Sri Lanka Trade Development Project Strengthen Capacity for WTO Negotiations Increase Export Potential in Garments and Gems & Jewelry Sectors 14

15 Sri Lanka Trade Development Project Relevance Stimulating trade and investment flows Integrating into the world economy Strengthening institutional capacity 15

16 Sri Lanka Trade Development Project Efficiency Consultations with stakeholders Needs assessment analysis Monitoring visits 16

17 Sri Lanka Trade Development Project Effectiveness Capacity enhanced in DOC, CCC, and EDB Training of 50 national WTO experts 17

18 Sri Lanka Trade Development Project Figure 3: Sri Lanka s Exports, US$ Million Percentage Exports to the EU Total Exports Exports as a % of GDP Source: Central Bank of Sri Lanka, Annual Report, Various Issues 18

19 Sri Lanka Trade Development Project Figure 4: FDI Inflows to Sri Lanka, US$ Million Total FDI EU FDI Source: Board of Investment of Sri Lanka,

20 Sri Lanka Trade Development Project Impact Increased competence in WTO negotiations Significant knowledge and experience gained Minimal negative impact on social environment 20

21 Sri Lanka Trade Development Project Sustainability Lack of institutional memory Need to redevelop WIC 21

22 Sri Lanka Trade Development Project Verdict Regular monitoring Strengthened institutional capacity Problem of sustainability 22

23 PROJECT 2: COLOMBO PORT EXPANSION PROJECT 23

24 Colombo Port Expansion Project Relevance Primary transshipment hub port Increase competitiveness Strengthen containerhandling capacity 24

25 Colombo Port Expansion Project Efficiency Stringent monitoring and evaluation Project Implementation Unit 25

26 Colombo Port Expansion Project Impact Lower freight costs Increased containerhandling capacity Increased transshipment traffic 26

27 Colombo Port Expansion Project Sustainability Significant role for private sector Increased demand for port facilities 27

28 Colombo Port Expansion Project Figure 11: Projected Annual Income and Expenditure Streams for Sri Lanka Ports Authority 200,000 Income-Expenditure Stream ($ '000) 150, ,000 50, (50,000) (100,000) (150,000) Year Source: ADB

29 Colombo Port Expansion Project Verdict Strict monitoring and evaluation framework Potential to be highly successful 29

30 THANK YOU 30