California Corrections Realignment: Opportunities and Challenges in the Public Policy Institute of California's Multi-county Study.

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1 California Corrections Realignment: Opportunities and Challenges in the Public Policy Institute of California's Multi-county Study. Ryken Grattet March 31 st, 2015

2 The Data Problem How can researchers (and others who value data) engage with governmental entities to help them generate the kind of data that are necessary for evaluating performance and planning in corrections? 2

3 3

4 Challenges and Opportunities Opportunities Dimensions Challenges Prison Downsizing Political Tolerance for bad news Evidence-Based Practice Professional Unseating BAU Accessibility and Power Technological Outdated Systems 4

5 Outline PPIC Public Safety Realignment The BSCC-PPIC Multi-county Study (MCS) Project 5

6 6

7 Postrelease Community Supervision Act of 2011 (AB 109) "Evidence-based practices refers to supervision policies, procedures, programs, and practices demonstrated by scientific research to reduce recidivism among individuals under probation, parole, or postrelease supervision. Cal Penal Code 3450 (b)(7) 7

8 California State Prison and Parole Populations have declined 8

9 Control of Correctional Populations Has Shifted to Counties Number of offenders under control Probation Parole Prison Jail Dec-08 Dec-09 Dec-10 Dec-11 Dec-12 Dec-13 9

10 Realignment s new (and some old) tools Post-release Community Supervision (by county probation, instead of state parole) County Jail Felons Flash Incarceration Split Sentencing Encouragement to experiment with programming and enforcement strategies (DRCs, EM, specialized caseloads, specialty courts) 10

11 If we had to do it over again, we probably would have included a research component to AB Former Secretary of CDCR & current Executive Director of CSAC, Matt Cate We must not only collect data about each new population, but also connect the data to programming types and supervision levels, and determine whether or not an offender has recidivated. --San Diego Deputy District Attorney Lisa Rodriguez The state does not currently have access to reliable and meaningful realignment data to ensure its ability to effectively monitor progress toward achieving intended realignment goals. --California State Auditor 11

12 BSCC-PPIC Multi-County Study (MCS) Engagement: California State Association of Counties County Administrative Officers Association of California California State Sheriff s Association Chief Probation Officers of California CDCR and DOJ Twelve California Counties Partially Funded by: National Institute of Justice 12

13 What types of data are needed? Recidivism Arrests, Violations Convictions Returns CI&I Unique ID Services & Sanctions Alternative Sanctions Treatment Background Risk & Needs Offending history

14 Finding interventions that work ID Controls Intervention Outcome Offender County Demographics Risk Needs Service Recidivism Andre X 32, M, White High SA Y Y Sebastian Y 22, M, Asian High SA Y Y Juan X 45, M, Black High SA N N Steve Z 34, M, White Low Educ N N Erica X 27, F, Latino Moderate MH Y N

15 15

16 What questions could be answered with such data? Are recidivism rates (however best defined) going up or down? Do the services we refer people to decrease their recidivism? Is flash incarceration leading to behavior change? Do offenders given split sentences do better, worse, or the same as offenders given straight sentences? Do offenders placed on electronic monitoring do better, worse, or the same as offenders given straight or split sentences? Do we have the right set of service and program options in place? Are their promising evidence based practices being used elsewhere that could benefit our county? 16

17 Possible research designs Wide range of policy impact, program outcome evaluations, compositional changes, forecasting Within and Across County Variation Lots of controls for matching or regression Quasi-experimental designs (propensity score matching, difference-in-differences, fixed effects) 17

18 Key Project Phases January Present Establishing the Pipeline February June 2015 Expanding the Scope June December 2016 Maintenance and Transfer 18

19 Establishing the Pipeline Establish capacity at PPIC to receive and secure a subset of the county probation and sheriff data Standardize and clean data Link data to state sources Produce a report on recidivism, including 1170h recidivism and returns to jail custody 19

20 2000 PRCS Releases, October 2011-June CPOC/BSCC CDCR PPIC MCS Contra Costa Fresno Humboldt Kern Los Angeles Orange 20

21 2000 PRCS Releases, October 2011-June CPOC/BSCC CDCR PPIC MCS Sacramento San Bernardino San Francisco Shasta Stanislaus 21

22 1 0.9 Next Steps 1-Year PRCS Recidivism Rates, October June % Arrested Convicted Return to Prison % % 0 Contra Costa Fresno Humboldt Kern Los Angeles Orange 22

23 1 1- Year PRCS Recidivism Rates, October June % 0.5 Arrested Convicted Return to Prison % % 0 Sacramento San Bernardino San Francisco Shasta Stanislaus 23

24 Data collection challenges Challenges Example(s) Solutions Incomplete data Services data Risk and needs data Identify necessary steps to capture data electronically and integrate into CMS Linking data Common identifiers Data silos Improved integration of data systems across criminal justice partners (sheriff, probation, jails, courts) Definitional ambiguity Key terms may be defined differently across agencies or counties (e.g., a program, recidivism) Provide standardized definitions and employ the building block approach Aging technology Venders no longer in business Older programming languages Technological patches Funding for technology upgrades 24

25 State of the Data Report Reasons for collecting data Types of data needed Obstacles to collecting Ways of overcoming those obstacles 25

26 Next Steps Preparing for Expanding the Scope Phase Working with CDCR and DOJ on how county data will be linked to state data Developing a publication on recidivism (encompassing returns to jail custody and arrest, reconviction, and return to custody of the 1170h) 26

27 The Data Problem How can researchers (and others who value data) engage with governmental entities to help them generate the kind of data that are necessary for evaluating performance and planning in corrections? Building political support Providing focus to data collection efforts Training locals on how to prepare data Doing the design and testing for them Brokering data flows that leverage existing sources 27

28 Contact Sonya Tafoya Research Associate Public Policy Institute of California (415) Ryken Grattet Research Fellow Public Policy Institute of California (916) Mia Bird Research Fellow Public Policy Institute of California (415)

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